The Math Behind Black Friday: Why Sales Make Us Buy More

Nov 27, 2024 | Carlington

Every year, Black Friday swoops in with jaw-dropping deals and irresistible discounts, convincing millions of shoppers to load up their carts. But have you ever wondered why these deals feel so irresistible? The answer lies in a mix of psychology and math, carefully crafted by retailers to maximize sales. Let’s pull back the curtain on some of these strategies and explore how logical reasoning can help your family shop smarter this Black Friday.


The Power of Anchoring: Setting a "Reference Price"

Imagine you see a jacket priced at $200, slashed down to $75. That "original price" of $200 acts as an anchor, setting a mental benchmark for how much the jacket is "worth." When you see the lower price, it feels like you're getting a bargain—even if $75 might still be higher than what you'd normally pay.

This anchoring trick relies on math to exaggerate savings:

  • Perceived Savings Formula:

For the jacket:

That big percentage makes the deal seem like a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, even if you didn’t need the jacket in the first place!


The Mystery of "Buy More, Save More"

Another common Black Friday tactic is the "Buy More, Save More" strategy. For example:

  • Spend $50, get 10% off.

  • Spend $100, get 20% off.

  • Spend $200, get 30% off.

At first glance, this seems like a chance to save big. But let’s break it down:

  • If you spend $200, you get a 30% discount, saving $60.

  • However, if your original shopping plan was only to spend $50, you're spending $150 more than intended—just to "save" $60!

The math shows that these offers encourage overspending, even if the discounts are real.


Percentage-Based Discounts vs. Flat Discounts

Retailers also play with percentage-based discounts to make sales look more appealing. For example:

  • Would you rather save 30% on a $100 item or get $30 off?

The truth is, both are mathematically identical. Yet, many people gravitate toward the percentage discount because it feels more impressive. This psychological trick exploits how we process numbers—percentages can feel abstract and exciting, while flat numbers seem mundane.


Limited-Time Offers: The Scarcity Effect

Ever seen a countdown timer on a Black Friday deal? These "limited-time offers" leverage the scarcity effect. When shoppers feel time pressure, they’re less likely to think critically about their purchases.

This tactic pushes us into impulse-buying mode, where logical reasoning takes a backseat. Families can avoid falling for this trap by pausing to calculate:

  • Is this item something we need?

  • Is the deal better than what we could find during other sales?


Logical Reasoning: Your Best Tool for Black Friday

While the math behind Black Friday can feel overwhelming, teaching your family some simple strategies can keep your budget in check:

  1. Set a Spending Limit: Decide on a total amount you're comfortable spending and stick to it.

  2. Do the Math: Compare the percentage discount to the actual savings in dollars.

  3. Focus on Value: Ask, "Would I buy this at full price?" If not, you might not truly need it.

  4. Avoid Anchoring: Research prices before Black Friday to know whether a "deal" is genuinely worth it.


A Fun Way to Teach Kids About Discounts

Parents can turn Black Friday shopping into a math lesson! Give your child a pretend budget and ask them to calculate the best deals using percentages and savings formulas. It’s a fun, real-world way to practice math skills—and helps them develop critical thinking about money.


Key Takeaway

Black Friday deals are a masterclass in the intersection of math and psychology. By understanding concepts like anchoring, percentage-based discounts, and the scarcity effect, families can make smarter purchasing decisions. At Mathnasium, we’re all about teaching kids the math skills they need for real life—because logical reasoning doesn’t just help with homework; it helps with holiday shopping, too!


Whether you’re navigating a shopping spree or solving equations, math is everywhere. This Black Friday, let your math smarts guide your decisions and make shopping a little more logical—and a lot more fun!